Effect of Deck in 2022
In 2022, Deck usage was associated with 0.6 percentage points in higher vote share and 0.8 percentage points in higher vote share relative to Biden performance.
Alan Yan Mar 1, 2023
Evaluation
Deck in 2022 Case Studies
In 2022 we had the pleasure of working with hundreds of campaigns. In this blog post I'll walk through how a few of those campaigns used Deck.
Evaluating our 2022 Forecasts
This cycle, significant polling bias against Democrats stoked fears of a red wave. But Deck’s forecasts not only much more accurately predicted the final results of elections, but most importantly was far less biased in doing so. Deck’s median absolute error (MAE) was 2.9pp for Democratic vote share across all state and federal races in November 2022. Deck’s forecast’s underpredicted Democratic vote share by an average of 1.04pp.
Looking back at our 2021 forecasts
At Deck, we help progressive campaigns and organizations reach the right voters.
Deck’s Impact in 2021
The 2021 elections in Virginia and New Jersey taught all of us in the Democratic space a lot about what we need to work on ahead of 2022.
The role we played in the 2020 election
In 2020, Deck was actively used by 1,142 campaigns and organizations to target the right voters, efficiently allocate resources, and track their progress through Election Day.