Looking back at our 2021 forecasts
At Deck, we help progressive campaigns and organizations reach the right voters.
At Deck, we help progressive campaigns and organizations reach the right voters.
Working in progressive data is great. We have no shortage of meaningful questions to answer, organizers to empower, and fun experiments to run.
But before any of that can happen, we usually have to find and clean some sort of gnarly public data. And that's where this job can get frustrating.
After the 2020 election, we sought feedback from dozens of users and partners on how Deck should evolve for future cycles. Over and over again, we heard that there's a big unmet need for a tool like Deck at the local level.
In 2020, Deck was actively used by 1,142 campaigns and organizations to target the right voters, efficiently allocate resources, and track their progress through Election Day.
At Deck, we build predictions using an approach we call “contextual inference.” Most predictive models in politics are trained on survey responses. Those responses are then generalized to a broader audience based on the demographic and socioeconomic traits of the...
Because of the COVID-19 pandemic, unprecedented efforts to promote voting by mail, instability at the USPS, and Donald Trump’s anti-democratic rhetoric against voting by mail, past patterns in voting by mail may not hold this year. At the same time, the process of...
Running complex predictive models on huge datasets can be a pain. At Deck, we’re really feeling that pain. Every day, our product runs several models on almost 13 billion rows of data — representing every campaign/voter relationship for the offices we support. It’s...